An updated look at the 2012 Electoral College map with polls wow gold po TO

An updated look at the 2012 Electoral College map with polls

Hundreds of millions of Americans will cast their ballots this November, but the votes that matter the most are cast by members of the Electoral College months later. As seen in the latest polls below, President Obama continues to hold a strong lead in the Electoral College vote count a week after Mitt Romney accepted the nomination at the Republican National Convention. The projection has changed little over the last three weeks, which is bad news for Romney. The last update also gave Obama 333 votes, compared to 205 votes for Mitt Romney.

It should be noted that a large number of the votes currently counted for Obama come from states which are very closely contested. The President's lead in many states is well within the margin-of-error for the given polls, and a change in just a few percentage points could make the race competitive again. Finally, Obama's lead has shrunk over the past two weeks in many key states like Michigan, Colorado, and Virginia.

The projection above is made using the most recent polls linked below, while also giving consideration to the historical trends of each state and other polls released over the last two weeks. Special emphasis is given to how the state voted in 2008. In analyzing Michigan, for example, President Obama won the state by 16 points in 2008, and an average of polls has Obama ahead by 2 points Acheter Des PO. Considering all these factors, the state is still projected for Obama even though the most recent poll has the race tied. It is also worth noting that many of the most recent polls come from Rasmussen Reports, an organization that has given Republican candidates a misleading three-to-five point edge in their polls as recently as 2010.

The polls below show which Republican candidate (Romney or not) currently polls best against President Obama in a given state. Since the last update wow gold po, new polls have been released in the states of Ohio, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Colorado, and Missouri.

President Obama is still given Ohio in this update even though the most recent poll has Romney up by three points. The reason for this is that Obama still leads in the Real Clear Politics average of six polls, and Obama is winning or tied in three of the last four polls released gw2 gold. In addition, Obama won the state by five points in 2008. Similarly, Obama is still projected to win Florida because he is leading in the RCP average, has won three of the last four polls, and won the state by three points in 2008. In all honestly both Ohio and Florida would be rated "tossup" since they could easily switch to Romney by Election Day wow gold, but this projection does not allow the autor to take the easy road by rating states as tossups. Right now, the states are both projected for Obama, even if it is by the slimmest of margins.

A prediction of the 2012 map based on the new polls can be seen above. Follow me on Twitter or Facebook to receive continual updates up through Election Day.

A state is called "safe" based on the 2008 results, but could still be competitive in 2012, based on demographic changes, among other factors. For example, Michigan is put in the "safe Obama state" category based on 2008 results, but looks to be more competitive in 2012 given the current polling. President Obama's poll number is listed first, followed by the Republican challenger's number. Further analysis follows the tables below wow gold ideal.